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2024-12-13 23:06:21

The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Top 20 US stock turnover on December 10th: Microsoft shareholders opposed the bitcoin investment proposal. On Tuesday, Microsoft, the fifth largest US stock turnover, closed down 0.60% with a turnover of 8.876 billion US dollars. On Tuesday, December 10th, Eastern Time, the shareholders of Microsoft voted against a proposal to allocate Bitcoin, arguing that it was not in the long-term interests of shareholders, and pointed out that Microsoft's existing strategy was already evaluating various investable assets including Bitcoin, which was part of Microsoft's broader investment framework. Earlier, Microsoft's board of directors urged shareholders to reject a suggestion from the National Center for Public Policy Research that the company invest 1% of its total assets in Bitcoin to hedge against inflation. (Global Market Broadcast)On the eve of the release of CPI data in November, a newly released report said that the leadership of the Bureau of Labor Statistics should be responsible for a series of mistakes this year. These mistakes brought the institution under scrutiny. However, the report issued by an expert team composed of government and private sector members said that none of these incidents had anything to do with the quality or accuracy of the agency's core data work. The report added that no potential motives for dishonesty or malice were found. Previously, the CPI of the United States was leaked in advance in April, and in August, the preliminary annual benchmark revised data of the non-farm payrolls report was released more than 30 minutes after the original release time of 10: 00 a.m. The survey found that the modernization of technology and software of this institution was hindered by insufficient funds, which made it impossible to ensure that its processes and systems kept pace with technological progress. The investigation team proposed to re-plan the enterprise training for front-line staff and revise the emergency plan to reduce the risk of untimely release. It is reported that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has removed contractors from key positions and limited these functions to federal staff.


The Iraqi Prime Minister met with the commander of the US Central Command to discuss the situation in Syria and other issues. The Iraqi Prime Minister and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Sudani met with the commander of the US Central Command, michael curry Al-Ra, in Baghdad on December 10th. During the talks, the two sides discussed the cooperation and coordination between Iraq and the League of Nations in the fight against terrorism and extremism. Sudani emphasized that Iraq is an important member of the "League of Nations" and is committed to cooperating with the League to jointly crack down on and track down terrorist organizations in order to safeguard regional security and stability. Curilla emphasized that the League of Nations promised to support Iraq in safeguarding its security and sovereignty and resisting any terrorist threat. The two sides also discussed the latest progress of the situation in Syria and its lasting impact on the region. Sudani said that the Syrian people's free choice should be respected, and Iraq is willing to help the Syrian people in the current transitional stage. (CCTV)Market information: US President Biden plans to formally prevent Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) from acquiring American steel companies. US Steel (X) triggered an intraday fuse and fell 8.8% before trading was suspended.Market information: Trump's nominee for finance minister, Bertrand Besson, said that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell can complete his remaining term.


According to medical personnel, at least seven Palestinians were killed and many others were injured in the Nu Sillat refugee camp in central Gaza as a result of Israeli air strikes.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the conflict situation: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops controlled the village of Zhovte in eastern Ukraine. 2. The governor said that Russian missiles attacked Ukraine, killing three people and injuring five others. 3. Russian President Vladimir Putin: A sufficient number of Hazelnut missiles will effectively eliminate the need to use nuclear weapons. Others: 1. The U.S. Treasury Department announced that it would allocate 20 billion U.S. dollars in loans to Ukraine. 2. According to the Tass news agency, Russia resumed passenger railway traffic with North Korea. 3. President of Ukraine: The current focus is not on lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. 4. Kremlin: Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Indian Defense Minister. 5. The United States approved the sale of F-16 fighter maintenance services and related equipment to the Ukrainian government at a cost of $266.4 million. 6. Kremlin: Russia's goal in Ukraine can be achieved through special military actions or negotiations. There are still no negotiations on Ukraine. 7. Belarusian President Lukashenko: There are about 30 locations in Belarus where hazel missiles can be deployed. The response to the invasion will be immediate, including the use of nuclear weapons.

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